Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monza in this match.