Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an AC Chievo Verona win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.