Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Como had a probability of 28.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
