Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
