Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
