Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.