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Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce
3 - 1
Cosenza

Coda (12' pen.), Mancosu (77' pen.), Meccariello (85')
Hjulmand (15'), Coda (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gliozzi (8')
Legittimo (11'), Ingrosso (84')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Cosenza Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawCosenza Calcio
49.26%24.19%26.55%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83%50.17%
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.26%
    Cosenza Calcio 26.55%
    Draw 24.19%
LecceDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.26%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.55%

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