Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.