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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 1pm UK
Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 0
Ascoli

Anderson Pomilio Lima da Silva (87')
Di Tacchio (62'), Cicerelli (74'), Casasola (89'), Dziczek (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brosco (90+2'), Kragl (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAscoli
46.84%25.87%27.29%
Both teams to score 51.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45%52.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79%74.21%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58%22.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05%55.95%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93%34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25%70.75%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 46.84%
    Ascoli 27.29%
    Draw 25.86%
SalernitanaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.29%


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