Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.91) 
-1.12) 
