Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.13) 
