Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Frosinone
38.24% ( -0.12)	27.51% ( 0.12)	34.25% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.17% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

-0.46)

56.49% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51% (

-0.37)

77.49% (

0.37)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-0.29)

28.64% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-0.36)

64.44% (

0.37)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-0.23)

31.1% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-0.27)

67.42% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 38.23%

Frosinone 34.25%

Draw 27.5%

Reggiana	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.23%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.25%