Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Ascoli win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
