Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Catanzaro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result |
| Lecco | Draw | Catanzaro |
21.87% ( -0.28) | 27.03% ( 0.14) | 51.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( -0.66) |
| 39.34% ( -0.68) | 60.66% ( 0.68) |
| 19.26% ( -0.52) | 80.74% ( 0.52) |
| 56.47% ( -0.69) | 43.53% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.26% ( -0.58) | 79.74% ( 0.58) |
| 76.03% ( -0.23) | 23.97% ( 0.23) |
