Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Catanzaro and Foggia Calcio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Foggia Calcio had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Foggia Calcio win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Foggia Calcio |
64.69% ( 2.82) | 19.74% ( -1.16) | 15.56% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.24) |
| 59.32% ( 2.15) | 40.68% ( -2.15) |
| 36.93% ( 2.17) | 63.07% ( -2.17) |
| 88.15% ( 1.46) | 11.85% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.88% ( 3.02) | 37.12% ( -3.02) |
| 60.97% ( -0.74) | 39.02% ( 0.74) |
