SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Ternana |
55.16% ( -0.28) | 23.1% ( 0.26) | 21.74% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -1.12) | 45.98% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -1.07) | 68.29% ( 1.07) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.49) | 16.53% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.71% ( -0.89) | 46.29% ( 0.9) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( -0.61) | 35.32% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( -0.64) | 72.08% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.74% |
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