Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Frosinone
36.44% ( 0)	27.7% ( -0.01)	35.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.88% (

0.03)

57.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01% (

0.02)

77.99% (

-0.02)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.02)

30.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.02)

66.15% (

-0.02)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

0.02)

30.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

0.02)

66.58% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mantova 36.43%

Frosinone 35.86%

Draw 27.69%

Mantova	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.86%