Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Mantova |
57.27% ( 1.58) | 22.32% ( -0.48) | 20.4% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% ( 0.68) | 44.29% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.33% ( 0.65) | 66.66% ( -0.66) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% ( 0.76) | 15.22% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.12% ( 1.42) | 43.88% ( -1.43) |
Mantova Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.32% ( -0.71) | 35.67% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.55% ( -0.73) | 72.44% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Mantova |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.4% |
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