Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Pisa
34.64% ( -0.02)	28.65% ( -0.03)	36.71% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.83% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.36% (

0.1)

60.64% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.28% (

0.08)

80.72% (

-0.08)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

0.04)

32.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

0.05)

69.54% (

-0.05)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

0.08)

31.62% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

0.1)

68.03% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Mantova 34.63%

Pisa 36.71%

Draw 28.64%

Mantova	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.71%