Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.