Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
