Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.