Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
