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Serie B | Gameweek 32
Jul 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
1 - 2
Pordenone

Falzerano (6')
Sgarbi (37'), Rajkovic (67'), Melchiorri (76'), Carraro (78')
Falzerano (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mazzocco (2'), Ciurria (39')
Vogliacco (20'), Bassoli (50'), Candellone (68'), Tremolada (76')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Pordenone Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
PerugiaDrawPordenone Calcio
38.06%27.16%34.78%
Both teams to score 50.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93%55.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67%76.33%
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28%63.71%
Pordenone Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.17%
Score Analysis
    Perugia 38.06%
    Pordenone Calcio 34.77%
    Draw 27.15%
PerugiaDrawPordenone Calcio
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.77%


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