Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Trapani Calcio had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Trapani Calcio win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.