Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.