Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
