Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.
