Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.