Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
