Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
