Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
