Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggina in this match.
