Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.06) 
