Sassuolo should cause a potentially makeshift Milan some problems in an intriguing last-16 clash - particularly given their current form and past successes at San Siro.
However, Paulo Fonseca can call upon a talented second string, and the Rossoneri should march on to a quarter-final tie against either Roma or Sampdoria.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.13) 
