Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
0.89) 
-0.26) 
