Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
