SPAL
2 - 0
Salernitana

Valoti (6'), Di Francesco (41')
Dickmann (36'), Missiroli (60'), Tomovic (80'), Ranieri (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Di Tacchio (3'), Dziczek (50'), Aya (59'), Giannetti (83'), Tutino (90+2'), Casasola (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Salernitana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Salernitana
42.47%	26.04%	31.49%

Both teams to score 53.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75%

51.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92%

73.08%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.16%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7%

30.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52%

66.48%

Score Analysis

SPAL 42.46%

Salernitana 31.49%

Draw 26.03%

SPAL	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.49%