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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
3 - 2
Vicenza

Murgia (38'), Valoti (60'), Castro (90+3' pen.)
Murgia (66'), Sala (74'), Di Francesco (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dalmonte (21'), Meggiorini (50')
Beruatto (36'), Longo (77')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Vicenza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawVicenza
41.35%25.36%33.28%
Both teams to score 55.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17%47.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98%70.01%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21%56.79%
Vicenza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56%27.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07%62.93%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 41.35%
    Vicenza 33.28%
    Draw 25.36%
SPALDrawVicenza
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.16%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.28%


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