SPAL
1 - 3
Fiorentina

D'Alessandro (39')
Fares (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Duncan (30'), Kouame (89'), Pulgar (90+4' pen.)
Chiesa (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between SPAL and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Fiorentina
26.62%	23.41%	49.97%

Both teams to score 58.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46%

42.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05%

64.95%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68%

29.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71%

65.29%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85%

17.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.61%

47.39%

Score Analysis

SPAL 26.62%

Fiorentina 49.97%

Draw 23.41%

SPAL	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 6.67% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.62%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.97%