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HV
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
SL

Hellas Verona
3 - 0
SPAL

Di Carmine (7', 11'), Faraoni (47')
Eysseric (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dabo (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSPAL
42.97%26.09%30.94%
Both teams to score 52.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.44%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.06%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12%30.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83%67.17%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 42.97%
    SPAL 30.95%
    Draw 26.08%
Hellas VeronaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.95%


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