Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
