Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
