Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
