SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primorje win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primorje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Primorje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Primorje | Draw | NK Domzale |
42.03% ( -0.03) | 25.37% ( 0.06) | 32.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.29) | 48.03% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.27) | 70.2% ( 0.27) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.14) | 22.75% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( -0.21) | 56.44% ( 0.21) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.17) | 27.97% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -0.21) | 63.6% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Primorje | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.61% |
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