SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
64.93% ( 0.06) | 19.23% ( -0.02) | 15.84% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0) | 37.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% | 59.93% ( -0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( 0.01) | 10.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.9% ( 0.03) | 35.09% ( -0.04) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.05) | 36.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( -0.05) | 73.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.23% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.84% |
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