SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Domzale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aluminij | Draw | NK Domzale |
29.01% ( -0.39) | 25.43% ( 0.39) | 45.56% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( -1.86) | 49.79% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( -1.69) | 71.8% ( 1.69) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -1.24) | 31.31% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -1.46) | 67.67% ( 1.46) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.77) | 21.84% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( -1.19) | 55.07% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aluminij | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.56% |
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