Antalyaspor's superior form gives them an edge despite their dreadful record at Adana – the hosts are desperate for redemption, and will fight hard, but their off-field turmoil appears to have taken a toll on their season, which is why we expect a win for the visitors.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
