SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
46.64% ( 0.01) | 25.95% ( 0.24) | 27.42% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( -1.07) | 52.8% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( -0.92) | 74.42% ( 0.93) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.45) | 22.62% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0.68) | 56.24% ( 0.69) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( -0.75) | 34.1% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( -0.82) | 70.79% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.42% |
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