SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
52.04% ( 0.28) | 23.61% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.39) | 45.41% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.37) | 67.75% ( 0.37) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.04) | 17.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( -0.07) | 47.92% ( 0.07) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.47) | 32.65% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% ( -0.53) | 69.2% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.35% |
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