SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
28.96% ( 0.02) | 27.83% ( -0) | 43.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.97% ( 0.01) | 59.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( 0.01) | 79.49% ( -0.01) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( 0.02) | 36.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27% ( 0.02) | 73.01% ( -0.01) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0) | 27.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.53% ( -0) | 62.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.2% |
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